Liverpool look to pick up the victory they need to guarantee themselves a place in the top four as they take on already relegated Middlesbrough on the final day of the Premier League season.
Liverpool Recent Form
Liverpool know that a win here will guarantee them a top four finish and a place in the Champions League next season.
They come into the game on a run of three games unbeaten, with clean sheets kept in all three, and only one defeat in their last eleven.
The hosts have suffered just two defeats at home in the league all season, to Swansea and Crystal Palace, but haven’t won in their last three as hosts.
A 4-0 win away at West Ham last weekend has strengthened their position and the entire team will be confident of picking up a big win to end the season on a high.
Middlesbrough Recent Form
Middlesbrough are already resigned to the fact they will be playing Championship football next season and the players will just be glad when the season’s over.
Just one win in their last twenty league games, with twelve defeats in that time, has seen them go down without much of a fight.
Their away form has been awful, with a win at Sunderland in their first away match of the season being the sole victory on their travels. That’s a run of 17 away games without a win, with them failing to score in seven of their last eight on the road.
One saving grace is the fact they cannot finish bottom but it’s still a season the fans and players will want to forget quickly.
Head to Head Record
Liverpool won the most recent meeting between the sides 3-0 in December.
That match was their first league meeting since 2009, when Middlesbrough won 2-0.
In the last ten league meetings, Liverpool have won five times, four have been draws, and Boro have won just once.
Overall, these sides have met 121 times since the first back in 1902. Liverpool have won 56, Boro have 31 victories, and 34 have finished level.
The last time Middlesbrough won away to Liverpool was just over 41 years ago, in March 1976.
Betting Odds and Predictions
There is little doubt in our minds that Liverpool will win this game easily, and that is reflected in the betting odds. NetBet (review find here) have the home side priced as 2/15 favourites, with the visitors a massive 20/1 to pick up the unlikeliest of victories. The draw is priced at 15/2. You find the best odd here on bet365 (for a review follow the link)
Even in the handicap betting there isn’t much value in backing Liverpool, with them starting the game at -1 priced at 20/57, and -2 is 20/21. The home side to win by two or more goals is priced at 1/4.
The most likely scenario in this match is Liverpool to win to nil, which is priced at 5/9.
Middlesbrough to even score a goal offers decent value, with over 0.5 Boro goals at 31/20. Over 1.5 Boro goals, which is something they’ve only achieved once in their last seven, is 17/2.
Liverpool to score more than once in the first half looks good value. The home side need to win, so will want to assert their authority early on in this match. Over 1.5 Liverpool goals in the first half is priced at 5/4.
With the away side having nothing to play for and the importance of the game for Liverpool, this could end up being a bit of a drubbing. Therefore, over 3.5 goals looks good value at 11/10, and over 4.5 goals is priced at 5/2.
Looking at the goal scorer markets, Phillippe Coutinho stands out in our opinion. He netted twice at West Ham last week and has found the net in five of the last eight Liverpool games.
Coutinho is priced at 1/1 to score anytime, 17/4 to score first, 5/1 to score two or more, and 18/1 to net a hat-trick.
Top Betting Tip
It’s hard to determine a top betting tip for this game. Liverpool are almost certain of the victory, but backing them just to win provides no value whatsoever.
So, having considered every possibility, we think the best bet to place on this match is Phillippe Coutinho to score at any time. This is priced at 1/1 with NetBet, providing decent value on something which has happened frequently in recent games.
Our next best bet is Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals in the first half, priced at 5/4. More Tipps on www.online-betting.org.